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I suspect the #weather is more chaotic¹ in the UK than on mainland Europe, and that makes forecasts less reliable here than there. I look at the BBC Weather app every morning; today's forecast is more often right than wrong, tomorrow's is a hint about what may possibly happen, and anything further out than that is science fiction. During this year's drought, the forecast has repeatedly promised rain a few days away, and it's hardly ever materialised.
¹ I'm using the word #chaos in its scientific sense, where a small perturbation in the state of a system causes large changes in its state later on. Since we can never measure the current state with perfect accuracy, detailed forecasts rapidly degenerate into noise as you get further out. The fabled #ButterflyEffect refers to chaos in this sense.
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
As seen from my house, a pyrocumulus cloud over the Hawk Fire on Peavine Mountain north of Reno, Nevada, earlier today. According to Zeke on The Lookout YouTube channel, the fire has gotten into Hidden Hills (Seneca Dr / Chippewa Ave) & has jumped US395 into an older part of Stead (Peppermint Dr). Homes are being lost. 😢
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XhTUCX6tIaY
#Fire #Reno #Nevada #Desert #Wildfires #Weather #Climatecrisis #Climate
Risk of #weather data sabotage is rising
#PredictionMarkets and a move toward #AI forecasting are starting to put accuracy of weather predictions at risk
Temptation to manipulate weather data to get an edge in markets, combined with move to data-driven AI weather forecasting, puts accuracy of weather predictions at risk. These risks are relatively manageable for now, but foresee scenarios where they snowball into far bigger, more systemic problems.
https://www.technologyreview.com/2026/07/17/1140622/weather-data-sabotage/
https://archive.ph/jZqBD
Regardless of the forecast, it is still sunshine, blue sky, and 33°C outside. I'm starting to think these forecasts are for a parallel universe where they have addressed climate change.
Cannot believe I'm disappointed we have nice hot summer weather, and I'm hoping for rain. We're desperate for some relief.
Saturday night is the only night where I'm allowed to water the lawn and the flowers. I left the system turned on for tonight, because I don't believe we'll actually get rain.
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
Rain’s coming. Reckon vve
best head to refrigerator:
Heat some Chicken 🐥.
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
Well, it looks like it's going to be another crazy morning with #thunderstorms developing all around me. The cell to the south of me is moving north eastbound so I suspect it'll be overhead shortly. #Lightning strikes right under those yellow blobs. I wouldn't mind so much if there was some rain that went with them, but the rain that's falling isn't even enough to wet my deck, let alone make puddles. #WildFires #weather #wx
There's another thunderstorm coming here in KC tonight.
My adopted grandma gave me some calming pheromone spray to try on Sammy, which I hope will help him with his fear of the boom booms. (And a cute little bee bandana to spray it on.)
Wish us luck!
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
Europe's heat waves scorch 80 million with 40 C heat https://phys.org/news/2026-08-europe-million.html
Carbon pollution has fuelled ‘massive expansion’ of marine heatwaves in Europe, study finds https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/19/carbon-pollution-massive-expansion-marine-heatwaves-europe
#Europe #marine #environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave #carbon #pollution
Flash flooding risk as heavy rain hits UK https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/videos/c2lq4lwy0z0o?at_medium=RSS/Mastodon
#UnitedKingdom #UK #environment #weather #rain #flood #floods #flooding #flashflood
As temperatures get hotter, pesticides are more dangerous to farmworkers https://arstechnica.com/science/2026/08/as-temperatures-get-hotter-pesticides-are-more-dangerous-to-farmworkers/
#environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave #agriculture #farming #pesticides #health
England’s ancient oak trees dying in extreme hot and dry weather https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/18/england-ancient-oak-trees-dying-extreme-hot-dry-weather
#England #trees #environment #weather #temperature #heat #drought
Earth just endured one of the hottest months ever recorded https://www.earth.com/climate/earth-just-endured-one-of-the-hottest-months-ever-recorded/
It’s infuriating that weather warnings are so bad that people don’t get the notice until the danger has passed.
#weather #hail #Nebraska #NebraskaPanhandle #NEwx
Extreme heat more dangerous for people 60 and over than previously thought https://www.theguardian.com/society/2026/aug/17/extreme-heat-more-dangerous-for-people-60-and-over-than-previously-thought
#environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave #health #PublicHealth
Extreme weather is making work difficult for many people. This is what needs to change https://phys.org/news/2026-08-extreme-weather-difficult-people.html
Green roofs can help cool cities in the summer heat, but building them is only the first step. Many don't survive https://phys.org/news/2026-08-green-roofs-cool-cities-summer.html
#cities #environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave #summer
Hot days may last four hours longer as climate change intensifies https://www.earth.com/climate/hot-days-may-last-four-hours-longer-as-climate-change-intensifies/
#environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave #climate #ClimateChange #ClimateCrisis
European farmers face ‘unprecedented crisis’ after successive heatwaves https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/17/european-farmers-unprecedented-crisis-successive-heatwaves
#Europe #environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave #agriculture #farming
Current weather: 🌩⚡️⚡️⚡️🌩🌩⛈️⛈️⛈️
Okay, that bolt of lightning startled me.
Suddenly realizing how big the windows in my office are.
Also, to the smartass (coworker) who confidently told me the radar they looked at didn't show the storms I saw on the morning news this morning....you're full of shit.
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
eeeeevery day they keep pushing the Expected Return to Service into the future.
It's been over a week and a large swath of Alberta is not covered by radar. During storm season. Brilliant.
Screengrab from https://www.canada.ca/en/environment-climate-change/services/weather-general-tools-resources/radar-overview/outages-maintenance.html on 20 Aug.
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
Dawn and sunrise this morning, August 20th, from Buck Hill!
#BuckHill #BlueHills #BlueHillsReservation #Boston #BostonWX #BostonMA #Landscape #LandscapePhotography #Photography #LongDistanceObservations #Weather #Sunrise #Dawn
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
The boat has its own electric meter, provided by the marina.
The marina office sells £10 prepay cards, which buy 30.30 kilowatts. That's £0.33 per kilowatt, £0.07 more than the average UK price.
In one day, the meter used 0.78kW, so roughly £2 per week. This will increase once I plug in the dehumidifier and the two electric heaters that keep the boat's plumbing from freezing.
#CanalLife #BoatingLife #BoatLife #canal #boating #boat #narrowboat #electricity #power #winter #freeze #heat #weather
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
‘Our new normal’: how marine heatwaves affect life in British seas https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/aug/17/marine-heatwave-new-normal-britain-seas
#Britain #marine #sea #environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave
Heavy rain soaks eastern Japan, prompting highest-level warning https://phys.org/news/2026-08-heavy-eastern-japan-prompting-highest.html
🔥 NEW on ingallswx.com - smoke forecast charts! These charts show both vertically integrated smoke and near surface smoke for the Columbia Basin, Puget Sound Region, and Willamette Valley.
Forecast source is HRRR. Update cadence is every six hours.
India faces rising uncompensable heat stress, especially during monsoon season https://phys.org/news/2026-08-india-uncompensable-stress-monsoon-season.html
#India #environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave #monsoon
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
Really sweat my brains out on today's walk. It's about 77F in the shade now and the humidity is a whopping 34%. Ick. AQI is 54 now. A nice hot shower is up next, followed by my Morning pages and then breakfast.
The scale has been giving me good news every day for the past 4 days, which is encouraging. #exercise #health #weather #diet #writing
Millions of Europeans struggle with another wave of extreme heat https://phys.org/news/2026-08-millions-europeans-struggle-extreme.html
Coping with 54C heat: Delhi slum diaries detail living in extreme temperatures https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2026/aug/17/india-disasters-heatwaves-slum-diaries-delhi-vulnerable-temperatures
#India #Delhi #environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave
Marine heat waves are cooking our ocean ecosystems—and will only become more common https://phys.org/news/2026-08-marine-cooking-ocean-ecosystems-common.html
#ocean #marine #ecosystem #ecosystems #environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave
Interestingly irregular altocumulus undulatus (mackerel) clouds over the old town this evening 🤓 #weather #clouds | #faversham #kent #england
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
Extreme weather is deadlier than many people realize https://www.earth.com/climate/extreme-weather-is-deadlier-than-many-people-realize/
Marine heat waves pose hidden threat to human health, researchers warn https://phys.org/news/2026-08-marine-pose-hidden-threat-human.html
#marine #environment #environment #weather #temperature #heat #heatwave #health #PublicHealth
Europe's scorched landscapes seen from space after summer heatwaves https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4gxy0wqqd9o?at_medium=RSS/Mastodon
Over 27,000 lightning flashes in the Inland Northwest on Saturday.
Real time versions of this map here: https://ingallswx.com/graphics/real-time-data/lightning/
Current #Weather forecast for Hamilton, Ontario
https://weather.gc.ca/city/pages/on-77_metric_e.html
An talamh fodhad — the earth beneath you, keeping its own record of what this summer was.
What's the plant in your ditch that hasn't opened yet?
#Phenology #Nature #Gaelic #ScottishGaelic #Druid #Pagan #Herbalism #Summer #Goldenrod #Weather #Solidarity #Writing
Today's Gathering, whole → https://thistleandmoss.com/p/what-survives-the-morning-trump-is-dying-and-we-all-get-to-watch?utm_source=mastodon&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=fedica
2/2
been investigating dew point and humidex (instead of going to bed). The humidex is based on the dewpoint via a non-linear formula involving the vapour pressure, but according to the table at the bottom of the wikipedia page linked below, there seems to be a pretty simple relationship between d = (humidex minus actual) and dew point:
```
d dew point
1 10
2 11 or 12
3 13 or 14
4 15
5 16 or 17
6 18
7 19
8 20 or 21
9 22
10 23
11 24
12 25
```
Example: tomorrow afternoon it's forecast to be 26 humidex 32, a difference of 6 degrees, so a dew point of 18.
The same relationship works the other way around: right now here it's 20 with a dew point of 15. This corresponds to a d of 4 degrees, so the humidex is 20 + 4 = 24.
Source: wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Humidex.